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A new study published in Hydrological Sciences Journal examines the key reasons for increasing frequency and severity of floods; considering whether this is due to improved reporting by the media, an increasing and expanding global population, or whether climate change is the crucial factor.

http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2014/01/140121092913.htm

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  • "It has not been possible to attribute rain-generated peak streamflow trends to anthropogenic climate change over the past several decades.

    "It has not been possible to attribute rain-generated peak streamflow trends to anthropogenic climate change over the past several decades. Projected increases in the frequency and intensity of heavy rainfall, based on climate models, should contribute to increases in precipitation-generated local flooding (e.g. flash flooding and urban flooding).

    "This article assesses the literature included in the IPCC SREX report and new literature published since, and includes an assessment of changes in flood risk in seven of the regions considered in the recent IPCC SREX report—Africa, Asia, Central and South America, Europe, North America, Oceania and Polar regions.

    "Also considering newer publications, this article is consistent with the recent IPCC SREX assessment finding that the impacts of climate change on flood characteristics are highly sensitive to the detailed nature of those changes and that presently we have only low confidence1 in numerical projections of changes in flood magnitude or frequency resulting from climate change."

    Download report: Flood risk and climate change: global and regional perspectives
    http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.1080/02626667.2013.857411

  • http://www.monbiot.com/2014/02/17/muddying-the-waters/ here's a very interesting article on how farming policies and practices have contributed to the flooding experienced in places like the Levels. Practices like cultivating crops which decrease groundcover lead to increased run off and erosion (contributing to silting up downstream) - and government policies in recent years have overridden sensible guidance which mitigated these effects. It's never as simple as just sheer volume of rainfall, or even just the 'wrong kind of rain'.

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